Canada's prime minister says he has been planning in the last 12 months for a once-unthinkable scenario: potential US military action against his country. In a striking and broad interview with the New York Times, Mark Carney describes how President Trump's threats to annex Canada and tariff fights pushed his country to methodically reduce its dependence on the United States—from satellites and fighter jets to trade and currency. Carney says he's spent the past year preparing for "extreme tail risk," while still speaking "frequently" with Trump despite the collapse of trade talks and his American counterpart's public insults. "There's certain things," he tells the Times of Trump's willingness to exploit Canadian dependence on the US, that "once you've seen them, you can't unsee them."
Carney lays out the broader reset: weaning Canada off Elon Musk's Starlink network, reconsidering a major F-35 fighter jet order from its southern neighbor, pursuing deeper economic (though not defense) ties with China, and pushing for a more multipolar global financial system less dominated by the US dollar. He also sketches potential trade off-ramps, from a new potash deal to fertilizer "independence" for North America, even as he resists using Canadian energy exports as leverage. "If you're a reliable partner and you supply energy or food to somebody it keeps running, it's a very, very, very high threshold to change that," he tells the Times. "Never say never, but it starts from a position of, we need to be a reliable supplier in all cases." Read the full New York Times interview.